Fundamental analysis

economic-dictionary

Fundamental analysis is a type of stock analysis that attempts to establish the theoretical price of a security through the study of the variables that affect its value.

First of all, fundamental analysis is a type of stock market analysis. That is, although it can be used to value unlisted securities, it is mainly used to invest in the stock market.

Second, fundamental analysis attempts to establish the theoretical price of a security. What does this mean? It means that it tries to calculate what the price of a security should be in order for it to be fairly valued. With which, he does not venture to say whether the price should rise or fall, but rather establishes that in the long term the value should approach that price.

Third and last, but not least, it does so through the study of the variables that affect its value. Among these variables we find some such as financial statements, future expansion plans, sector to which the company belongs or economic environment of the country or countries in which it operates.

When it comes to fundamental analysis, it also refers to value investing. To be more exact, value investing is an investment strategy based on fundamental analysis.

Types of fundamental analysis approach

The variables that affect the value of a company can be microeconomic or macroeconomic. Microeconomic variables are those that exclusively affect the company. However, macroeconomic variables affect any type of company. So when evaluating a company there are two types of approach:

  • Top-Down Method: It is an analysis from top to bottom, from the general to the particular. First he studies the macroeconomic variables and then the microeconomic ones. For instance:
  1. Study of the world economic situation
  2. Study of the most attractive countries to invest
  3. Within each of these countries, the sectors with the most potential are chosen.
  4. Among the sectors with the most potential, those that are most interesting to invest in are analyzed.
  • Bottom-Up Method: This approach goes from bottom to top, from the particular to the general. It looks first at the microeconomic variables and later at the macroeconomic ones. For instance:
  1. Companies that have growth potential are chosen.
  2. An analysis of the sector or sectors in which these companies operate is then carried out.
  3. The economic situation of the country or countries in which they operate is studied.
  4. Finally, the global economic situation is analyzed.

Business valuation methods

Regardless of the type of approach an analyst takes, there are different methods of valuing a company. Company valuation methods are quantitative methods that calculate the "fair" price of a company.

The main methods of valuation of companies are:

  • Balance-based methods: They try to calculate the value of the company by estimating its equity. Several subtypes can be differentiated:
    • Book value.
    • Adjusted book value.
    • Real net assets.
    • Liquidation value.
    • Substantial value.
  • Methods based on the income statement: They value the company based on multipliers based on:
    • Benefits: PER.
    • Sales.
    • EBITDA.
    • Other multiples.
  • Methods based on goodwill: They value the company according to intangible elements such as trademarks, patents or the quality of the client portfolio. These methods include:
    • Classic
    • Union of experts
    • European accountants
    • Abbreviated rent
    • Others
  • Methods based on the discount of cash flows: They try to establish the value of a company based on the estimate of the cash flows that it will generate in the future. The main ones are:
    • Financial cash flow
    • Cash flow per share
    • Dividends
    • Capital cash flow

Difference between value and price

Fundamental analysis tries to analyze the value of a company or a security. This value is assigned a number known as the theoretical price or fair price. One of the most famous quotes from Warren Buffett, one of the best investors in history, states the following about value and price:

“The price is what you pay. Value is what you get »

Warren buffett

The price is the amount of money with which the goods are exchanged. In this case, from the stock market, the price is the stock price. It is at this price that buyers agree with sellers.

However, that price may not be realistic. That is, the price can be above the intrinsic value or the theoretical price. If so, we would say that the title is overrated. And, of course, the price can also be lower than the theoretical estimated price. Which would be telling us that the title is undervalued. If there is no substantial difference between the theoretical price and the market price, the analyst will say that the security is fairly valued.

Tags:  derivatives biography Colombia 

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